March
3, 2001
To: Aajonus Vonderplanitz
From: Nancy R. Mann, Ph.D. (Biostatistics,
UCLA, 1965)
Re:
Assessment of the Excess Risk of Salmonella dublin Infection Associated
with the
Use
of Raw Milk, Public Health Reports, Vol.
103, No. 5.
This
is a study that was conducted at UCLA from data involving cases of Salmonella
dublin reported to the State of California Department of Health Services in the
period
1980-83.
The purpose was "to determine the risk of serious illness
attributable to
infection
with Salmonella dublin associated with
the consumption of certified raw
milk."
From
the 1980-83 data that were made available by the State of California Department
of
Health
Services, the investigators concluded that the rate of reported S. dublin infections
acquired
by users of certified raw milk, which was supplied by the Alta-Dena Dairy, was
in
the
range of 8 to 35 cases per 100,000 users per year.
Knowledge not determined is what lifestyle variables exhibited
particularly by the
raw-milk users might have provided alternative causes for acquiring the
infection.
This information is especially important in view of the fact that if S dublin were
to
have been acquired from the certified raw milk supplied by the Alta-dena
Dairy or
from pasteurized milk in the other cases studied, then necessarily
epidemics would
have resulted in most, if not all, of the cases.
Because no epidemics were reported,
one must conclude that the cases of
S. dublin reported
for users of both raw and
pasteurized milk were the result of lifestyle variables more highly
correlated with the
use of raw milkor the previous health condition that
may have led them to drink raw milk
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